Apple is one of those stocks that we should look at almost every day.
The reasons is because it is a component of the Dow Jones, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite. If Apple does well, it will be good for the stock market.
On the other hand, if Apple does not do well, it will not be that good for the stock market.
AAPL has really gone a long way.
The stock is still in a daily uptrend. The thing with stocks that are in a strong uptrend, is we do not know how high it might go.
Stocks that are in an uptrend tend to surprise us and go even higher.
I think I will just employ a simple trend following tool using the 20 MA. As long as the stock is above the daily 20 MA, we should continue to be bullish on this stock from a daily chart point of view.
Sure we won't catch the exact top but at least it gives us a reference point.
If we take a look at the 60 min chart above, we can see that the stock has gone back above the 60 min 20 MA and 50 MA. I am not sure whether a double top might form in the 60 min chart.
But what you might want to have a look at is the green 60 min box area.
That will be a short term support area.
If AAPL manages to stay above this green area then it is likely to continue to move higher and make new all time highs.
Apple has broken out of a box and this will be good for the stock and for the market.
As long as Apple stays above the box, it will still be bullish. Just look like the daily 200 MA did not even give much resistance to it. The 60 min 20 MA and 50 MA is still rising. Therefore we should continue to be bullish on AAPL.
Yesterday, AAPL drop below the 60 min 20 MA for the first time after a long time. This is a first sign of weakness.
It does not mean that the stock will drop but just tells us that the bullish momentum is slowing down and one should be careful.
However if AAPL drops below the low that I have drawn in the chart above, I guess more selling might happen.
It did not reach the 190 target that I set which is where it is likely to meet its 200 day moving average but I guess targets are just there to help us.
The 60 min trend for AAPL is still up and we should continue to be bullish on this stock.
I do not recommend to long this stock now for swing trading because it is very near the daily 200 MA. The risk reward will have gotten smaller by now.
We should still be bullish but do be careful when it starts to drop below the 60 min 20 MA and 60 min 50 MA.
Well, Apple has been rising and rising and rising.
The simple reason is because its daily trend is up. Plus its 60 min trend is up. Therefore, let's just be simple and follow the trend.
A few days ago I mentioned that we should continue to be bullish on AAPL as long as it stays above the 60 min 20 MA. Two days later and the stock has continue to rise.
A simple trend following method does indeed yield results.
I think as long as the stock stays above is rising 60 min 20 MA, we can expect the stock to continue to rise up to the daily 200 MA.
The chart above is the daily chart of AAPL.
Notice how it is in a daily uptrend. It broke out of a trading box and is now climbing higher. The next stop will most likely be the 200 MA psychological resistance.
I'm not sure whether it will reach there but in my opinion, as long as the stock stays above the rising 60 min 20 MA, it is possible that AAPL will touch the 200 MA.
It's been quite a long time since I have had a look at Apple on this website. Maybe I should look at it every week as this stock is such an important component in most major stock indexes.
I think it is also in the portfolio of most investors as well as institutional investors. Therefore, what happens to Apple will have an impact to the bottom line of many people's portfolio.
I believe Apple is one of the most followed stocks in the world if not the most followed stock. Everyone knows Apple and their products is a symbol of wealth and prestige. Holding an Iphone 7 Max now is a symbol of being cool.
Apple has gone through quite a lot since last year. It started with a bearish cross and then a drop below a daily box. That is when it started to collapse.
From $200 plus to around $150 is about a quarter loss.
Apple started to bottom around January 2019 and lately it had a bullish cross. Now it is consolidating sideways and is in the process of forming a box.
A box in charts is very useful to gauge the strength or weakness of a stock. A strong stock will break above many many boxes to move higher.
Therefore, if Apple can breakout of the current box, it will move higher. Because Apple is a component of many indices it will also help the performance of major indexes such as the S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq Composite Index.
As long as Apple stays above the lows of this current box it is my believe that the main indices will not experience any significant selling.
On the other hand, it Apple drops below the current box, then you can certainly expect a serious correction in the main indices. So do take this into consideration.
Boxes are very simple stuff but they can be very powerful stuff.
I guess you do not read this in most places but trust me they are simple and works wonderfully well in analyzing stocks and the market.
The above chart is the weekly chart of AAPL. We can see how the stock got oversold in the weekly stochastics which also gave a buy signal.
AAPL also broke above a steep downtrend line. It break above a downtrend line...nevermind whether it is steep or not. A stock that breaks above a downtrend line is telling us it wants to end the current downtrend and therefore we should start to analyze whether it is giving us signs that it wants to go up.
Of course the weekly 200 MA also gave it some psychological support.
Right now Apple has moved from oversold to overbought in the weekly chart. Therefore we can expect some slowing down in the bullish momentum. Overbought is just overbought. It can warn us of declines but if the current consolidation in the daily chart of Apple can hold, then Apple will ignore the overbought signal.
And if Apple can breakout of the current daily box, then the overbought signal will lose its effect.
There is some resistance area above in the weekly. I have highlighted them in red. Therefore, even if Apple breaks out it will go up and then move back down in a wave pattern. The rise will help absorb the sellers at the area. And any dips are buying opportunities for traders and investors.
Let's take a look at the 60 min chart of Apple.
Well, we can see a few break downtrend lines in the 60 min chart. Those can be trading setups and they also signal to us short term moves.
Recently it broke above another downtrend line. It shot up yesterday only to decline back to the top of the trend line. I believe it's still alright as long as it stays above the downtrend line and the rising 60 min 50 MA.
But do be careful if it drops below the line I have drawn. More selling is bound to happen if AAPL drops below the lows of this recent support area.
Hope you enjoy and find this analysis helpful.
Have a great trading day!
Apple recently broke a daily downtrend line and this is a positive development for the stock. The stochastics were showing a slight bullish divergence which was why Apple had a nice bullish engulfing pattern.
The last time the stock broke a downtrend line, it had a nice rally back up. Perhaps due to the extremely oversold situation, it rallied hard.
This time, the rally is less convincing and seems to be taking a lot of effort.
Apple is still trading above its rising 200 MA and at least this is something positive for the stock.
When we look at the 60 min chart of Apple, we can see that it has already started a new 60 min uptrend. Currently it is trading above its rising 20 MA and 50 MA which in the past it was trading below it.
I would like to see Apple trade back above the resistance line. If the breakout materializes, it will be good for Apple as well as the entire stock market.
The recent quarterly earnings result by Apple has not been received well by investors. Even before the announcement, AAPL has been selling off thanks to rumors of weak Iphone X sales. Is this a temporary setback and will Apple continue to move higher?
The chart above is the daily chart of AAPL.
As you can see, the sell off started when Apple formed a topping tail. The topping tail plus the negative news was all that is needed to bring Apple lower.
As this moment, Apple is declining to an area of price support. Hopefully, it can find support at this area. Apple has not fallen below its rising 200 MA for a very long time. It will be crucial for Apple to be able to stay above this important MA.
The chart above is the weekly chart of AAPL.
The health of Apple is also crucial to the health of the stock market as it is a component of the 3 main indexes. Therefore, it will be important for Apple to be able to find support at the areas marked.
The trend of Apple is still up in the weekly chart although it is beginning to weaken a bit. Apple is dropping below the weekly rising 20 MA. That is usually nothing much to be concerned about especially if there is support nearby. But we really do not want to see it break support and break below the weekly 50 MA.
The last time it broke below the 50 MA, it had a meaningful correction and the stock was not able to make a new highs for a very long time.
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